NEWSReport No. CC 96-13              COMMON CARRIER ACTION   June 17, 1996 
                                     

                 FCC STAFF RELEASES WORKING COPY OF AN 
                INDUSTRY DEMAND & SUPPLY SIMULATION MODEL
                                    
     The FCC's Industry Analysis Division, Common Carrier Bureau, and the Competition
Division, Office of General Counsel, have released a staff model of the telecommunications
industry which allows users of the model to calculate a variety of outputs from nearly 200
specifications.  The model allows the user to specify growth rates, pricing trends, demand
elasticities, and cost relationships to simulate effects in traditional industry segments.

     The model, using publicly-available, industry-wide information, allows the user to
simulate the relative impact of particular changes in the industry.  For certain figures, the
working draft model contains "dummy" (usually "1919" or "19.19") numbers for certain
figures to emphasize that the user should input his or her own figure to run simulations.  The
presence or absence of any particular option or variable should not be interpreted as a
Commission decision or a proposed Commission decision.

     The model is contained in a LOTUS 123 version 3.1 DOS spreadsheet and occupies
2.5 megabytes of hard disk space.  While the spreadsheet can be loaded in EXCEL, Quattro
PRO, and newer versions of LOTUS, the graphs, print macros, scenario saver and
simulation features may not function correctly on a platform other than LOTUS 123 version
3.1.  

     Copies of the model may be purchased by calling International Transcription Services,
Inc. (ITS) at (202) 857-3800.  The model also can be downloaded from the Common Carrier
Bureau's home page on the World Wide Web.  The home page can be accessed directly
(http://www.fcc.gov/ccb.html) or through a direct link from the main FCC home page
(http://www.fcc.gov).  The model can also be downloaded from the FCC-State Link
computer bulletin board at (202) 418-0241 [BBS file name MODELV30.ZIP].  

   FCC

     For further information, contact Jim Lande at (202) 418-0498 (e-mail jlande@fcc.gov) or
Doron Fertig at (202) 418-1869 (e-mail dfertig@fcc.gov).