Date Issued: 
December 1, 2004

Keith Brown.  

Media Bureau Staff Research Paper 2004-1 (Dec 2004) employs survival and duration analysis to determine how subscriber levels affect the cable networks’ survival probabilities. It finds that a cable network that grows at the calculated mean rate requires approximately 42 million subscribers by its tenth year to obtain a 70 percent chance of survival over its first ten years. 

Working Paper Link